Each day here on the Blog and on the show we'll break down this year's Sweet 16 region by region. We are doing this despite the fact that my bracket is blown up the fact that Syracuse is out. I'm a glutton for punishment and hopefully you are too. You can click to see the Southwest, Southeast, and West regions that we have covered. Today we tackle the East region.
Teams Left Dancing: (1) Ohio State, (2) North Carolina, (4) Kentucky, (11) Marquette
Games: Friday - (2) North Carolina v. (11) Marquette 7:15 CBS, (1) Ohio State v. (4) Kentucky 9:47 CBS (Newark, NJ)
Story Line: What many felt was the toughest region of the four essentially held to form throughout the first weekend of the tournament. The one obvious exception is the fact that Syracuse is home after Marquette beat the Orange for the second time this season. Regardless of that upset, the East region semis are loaded with talented teams, players, and coaches. The main story line, however, has to be centered on The Ohio State. The Buckeyes have super frosh Jared Sullinger in the paint and senior sharp shooter Jon Diebler firing away from distance. Throw in a cast of experienced players and coach Thad Matta and OSU may be that dominate team everyone seems to think college ball is lacking this year. Can Ohio State get through tradition rich teams like Kentucky and North Carolina?
Most Likely Regoinal Final: I think we are headed for a potential classic as the Buckeyes and the Tar Heels should be playing in the finals on Sunday. Obviously young, the Tar Heels can counter Sullinger with Tyler Zeller (who's playing great basketball) and John Henson. Plus, Harrison Barnes has started to live up to his preseason hype. Although I like Ohio State's chances, a finals showdown with Roy Williams' bunch would be a fight to the finish.
Friday, March 25, 2011
Thursday, March 24, 2011
Breaking Down The Sweet 16 - Southwest
Each day here on the Blog and on the show we'll break down this year's Sweet 16 region by region. We are doing this despite the fact that my bracket is blown up and the fact that Syracuse is out. I'm a glutton for punishment and hopefully you are too. Click here to see our breakdown of the Southeast and West. Today is the Southwest region.
Teams Left Dancing: (1) Kansas, (10) Florida State, (11) VCU, (12) Richmond
Games: Friday - (1) Kansas v. (12) Richmond 7:27 TBS, (10) Florida State v. (11) VCU 9:57 TBS (San Antonio)
Story Line: If your personal brackets are blown up it's likely the Southwest region is the reason for your pain. Top seeds like Notre Dame (2), Purdue (3), Louisville (4), Vanderbilt (5), and Georgetown (6) have all been sent packing. That leaves heavy favorite Kansas playing against teams more likely to be considered Cinderellas rather than champions. Can Kansas avoid the upset bug, and live up to expectations (something Bill Self coached teams have had issues with in the past) or can this region produce a double digit Final Four representative?
Most Likely Regional Final: I love the fact that the city of Richmond has two teams left playing and both happen to reside in the same Southwest region (Richmond, VCU). I am hopeful to see a gutsy, tough, Florida State team bring defense to Houston. I have, however, resided myself to the fact that Kansas will certainly be playing Sunday for the right to appear in the Final Four. Whom the Jayhawks will face is an interesting question. The Seminoles hammered Notre Dame and seem to have the experience and the toughness to beat the CAA rep VCU Rams, but I don't know if anyone can count VCU out? I'll say it's likely to be Kansas and Florida State, but VCU could be on a run similar to their conference neighbor George Mason was on back in 2006.
Teams Left Dancing: (1) Kansas, (10) Florida State, (11) VCU, (12) Richmond
Games: Friday - (1) Kansas v. (12) Richmond 7:27 TBS, (10) Florida State v. (11) VCU 9:57 TBS (San Antonio)
Story Line: If your personal brackets are blown up it's likely the Southwest region is the reason for your pain. Top seeds like Notre Dame (2), Purdue (3), Louisville (4), Vanderbilt (5), and Georgetown (6) have all been sent packing. That leaves heavy favorite Kansas playing against teams more likely to be considered Cinderellas rather than champions. Can Kansas avoid the upset bug, and live up to expectations (something Bill Self coached teams have had issues with in the past) or can this region produce a double digit Final Four representative?
Most Likely Regional Final: I love the fact that the city of Richmond has two teams left playing and both happen to reside in the same Southwest region (Richmond, VCU). I am hopeful to see a gutsy, tough, Florida State team bring defense to Houston. I have, however, resided myself to the fact that Kansas will certainly be playing Sunday for the right to appear in the Final Four. Whom the Jayhawks will face is an interesting question. The Seminoles hammered Notre Dame and seem to have the experience and the toughness to beat the CAA rep VCU Rams, but I don't know if anyone can count VCU out? I'll say it's likely to be Kansas and Florida State, but VCU could be on a run similar to their conference neighbor George Mason was on back in 2006.
Wednesday, March 23, 2011
Breaking Down The Sweet 16 - West
Each day here on the Blog and on the show we'll break down this year's Sweet 16 region by region. We are doing this despite the fact that my bracket is blown up and the fact that Syracuse is out. I'm a glutton for punishment and hopefully you are too. Click here to see our breakdown of the Southeast. Today is the West region.
Teams Left Dancing: (1) Duke, (2) San Diego State, (3) Connecticut, (5) Arizona
Games: Thursday - (3) Connecticut v. (2) San Diego State 7:15 CBS, (1) Duke v. (5) 9:45 CBS (Anaheim).
Story Line: San Diego State had an amazing year and their head coach, Steve Fisher, has seemingly redefined his career following his fall from grace at Michigan. The Aztecs actually won their first ever tourney game last week! However, the story lines out of the West Region revolve around Duke and Connecticut. More specifically, we're all watching the Blue Devils Kyrie Irving and the Huskies Kemba Walker. Irving, a star freshmen who missed the majority of the year with a toe injury, is back and could be the difference in helping Duke repeat as national champs. Conversely, Walker has been amazing all year long and over the last two weeks has led Connecticut to the Big East tourney title (playing five games in five days) and to the Sweet 16.
Most likely Regional Final: Yes San Diego State is a great story, and yes Arizona is actually still playing here, but it's all about Duke and Connecticut. Not only should both teams win in their semis, they both could win easily (although it should be noted that the Aztecs are playing very close to home). That sets up a battle of Mike Krzyzewski against Jim Calhoun. A battle of Iriving (and Nolan Smith) v. Walker. A battle, in all reality, of the Big East v. the ACC.
Teams Left Dancing: (1) Duke, (2) San Diego State, (3) Connecticut, (5) Arizona
Games: Thursday - (3) Connecticut v. (2) San Diego State 7:15 CBS, (1) Duke v. (5) 9:45 CBS (Anaheim).
Story Line: San Diego State had an amazing year and their head coach, Steve Fisher, has seemingly redefined his career following his fall from grace at Michigan. The Aztecs actually won their first ever tourney game last week! However, the story lines out of the West Region revolve around Duke and Connecticut. More specifically, we're all watching the Blue Devils Kyrie Irving and the Huskies Kemba Walker. Irving, a star freshmen who missed the majority of the year with a toe injury, is back and could be the difference in helping Duke repeat as national champs. Conversely, Walker has been amazing all year long and over the last two weeks has led Connecticut to the Big East tourney title (playing five games in five days) and to the Sweet 16.
Most likely Regional Final: Yes San Diego State is a great story, and yes Arizona is actually still playing here, but it's all about Duke and Connecticut. Not only should both teams win in their semis, they both could win easily (although it should be noted that the Aztecs are playing very close to home). That sets up a battle of Mike Krzyzewski against Jim Calhoun. A battle of Iriving (and Nolan Smith) v. Walker. A battle, in all reality, of the Big East v. the ACC.
Tuesday, March 22, 2011
Breaking Down The Sweet 16 - Southeast
Each day on the Blog and on the show we'll break down this year's Sweet 16 region by region. We are doing this despite the fact my bracket is blown up and the fact that Syracuse is out. I'm a glutton for punishment and hopefully you are too. Let's explore the Southeast region.
Teams Left Dancing: (2) Florida, (3) BYU, (4) Wisconsin, (8) Butler
Games: Thursday - (2) Florida v. (3) BYU 7:27 TBS, (4) Wisconsin v. (8) Butler 9:57 TBS - (New Orleans)
Story Line: - With the ouster of top seed Pittsburgh it looks as though the Southeast may be up for grabs. Although, it should be noted that the second, third, and fourth seeded teams are still alive. I think the nation will be interested in the Southeast to see BYU's Jimmer Fredette, coach Billy Donovan of the Gators (2 national titles already), and the Cinderella Bulldogs of Butler. Wisconsin, on the other hand, a team that lost a game two weeks ago by a score of 36 - 33, is getting zero coverage. These Badgers of Bo Ryan, however, can play solid enough defense to take the region.
Most Likely Regional Final: - Both regional semis should be outstanding (I don't think Butler can contractually win a game in the tournament by more than 2 points). You can make an argument for all the teams to win on Thursday, but I'll go with Florida and their commitment to defense to face Sconny and their commitment to defense. By the way, 'commitment to defense' is code for low scoring, ugly, 53 - 52 games. Having wrote that, I wouldn't be shocked at a BYU - Butler regional final either. There is something with Butler and Matt Howard right now that seems like it could be March Magic. Not to mention Fredette could shoot BYU to Houston. Looking at both game though, I see the Gators advancing to take on the Badgers.
Teams Left Dancing: (2) Florida, (3) BYU, (4) Wisconsin, (8) Butler
Games: Thursday - (2) Florida v. (3) BYU 7:27 TBS, (4) Wisconsin v. (8) Butler 9:57 TBS - (New Orleans)
Story Line: - With the ouster of top seed Pittsburgh it looks as though the Southeast may be up for grabs. Although, it should be noted that the second, third, and fourth seeded teams are still alive. I think the nation will be interested in the Southeast to see BYU's Jimmer Fredette, coach Billy Donovan of the Gators (2 national titles already), and the Cinderella Bulldogs of Butler. Wisconsin, on the other hand, a team that lost a game two weeks ago by a score of 36 - 33, is getting zero coverage. These Badgers of Bo Ryan, however, can play solid enough defense to take the region.
Most Likely Regional Final: - Both regional semis should be outstanding (I don't think Butler can contractually win a game in the tournament by more than 2 points). You can make an argument for all the teams to win on Thursday, but I'll go with Florida and their commitment to defense to face Sconny and their commitment to defense. By the way, 'commitment to defense' is code for low scoring, ugly, 53 - 52 games. Having wrote that, I wouldn't be shocked at a BYU - Butler regional final either. There is something with Butler and Matt Howard right now that seems like it could be March Magic. Not to mention Fredette could shoot BYU to Houston. Looking at both game though, I see the Gators advancing to take on the Badgers.
Thursday, March 17, 2011
Breaking Down The Bracket - East
Each day here on the Blog leading up tot he start of the NCAA tournament (well the start of the now titled Second Round) we will break down a particular region. We're talking best games, sleepers, and other notable notes from the East, West, Southwest, and Southeast. Today we're breaking down the Southwest region. Click to see the West, Southeast and Southwest breakdowns.
Top Seeds: (1) Ohio State, (2) North Carolina, (3) Syracuse, (4) Kentucky
Analysis: First, let's be real here, the East is ridiculously loaded. The Big 10 regular season and tournament champ, the ACC regular season champ, and the SEC tourney champ are all among the top 4 seeds. UK was ranked in the top 20 all year and they are a four seed? Through in conference tourney champs, and dangerous teams, like Xavier and Washington and the winner of this region should just be crowned NCAA champs. It's likely the top seeds will hold for the first weekend and if that is the case the regional semis and finals will pit the Buckeyes against the Wildcats and the Tar Heels against the Orange.
Must Watch First Round Game: (6) Xavier v. (11) Marquette Friday TruTv 7:25 - I really want to see (8) George Mason v. (9) Villanova for so many reasons, but the winner of that is likely to lose in the next game (v. Ohio State). The winner of the Golden Eagles and the Musketeers could potentially reach the Sweet 16 and because it's the prelude to Syracuse's game, you know these two will play at least two overtimes.
Upset Pick: (12) Clemson v. (5) West Virginia Thursday CBS 12:15 - Here's my only real issue with the concept of the 'First Four.' The Tigers played Tuesday and crushed UAB and, despite getting into to Tampa at 4 in the morning Wednesday, they have confidence and are already one game experienced for the tourney. If fatigue is going to be an issue it would likely hit Clemson Saturday, not Thursday. I still think West Virginia is better and should win, but don't underestimate the value of playing an easy game on Tuesday for Clemson.
Darkhorse: (7) Washington - The Huskies ran the table in Los Angeles at the Pac 10 tournament last weekend for the second straight year. Last year's team used that momentum to reach the Sweet 16 and, although this Washington team isn't as good, I could see UW winning a game or two (or more) this season. With Isiah Thomas running the point for a team that can score quick the Huskies may be able to sneak up on the power teams in the East, including North Carolina.
Top Seeds: (1) Ohio State, (2) North Carolina, (3) Syracuse, (4) Kentucky
Analysis: First, let's be real here, the East is ridiculously loaded. The Big 10 regular season and tournament champ, the ACC regular season champ, and the SEC tourney champ are all among the top 4 seeds. UK was ranked in the top 20 all year and they are a four seed? Through in conference tourney champs, and dangerous teams, like Xavier and Washington and the winner of this region should just be crowned NCAA champs. It's likely the top seeds will hold for the first weekend and if that is the case the regional semis and finals will pit the Buckeyes against the Wildcats and the Tar Heels against the Orange.
Must Watch First Round Game: (6) Xavier v. (11) Marquette Friday TruTv 7:25 - I really want to see (8) George Mason v. (9) Villanova for so many reasons, but the winner of that is likely to lose in the next game (v. Ohio State). The winner of the Golden Eagles and the Musketeers could potentially reach the Sweet 16 and because it's the prelude to Syracuse's game, you know these two will play at least two overtimes.
Upset Pick: (12) Clemson v. (5) West Virginia Thursday CBS 12:15 - Here's my only real issue with the concept of the 'First Four.' The Tigers played Tuesday and crushed UAB and, despite getting into to Tampa at 4 in the morning Wednesday, they have confidence and are already one game experienced for the tourney. If fatigue is going to be an issue it would likely hit Clemson Saturday, not Thursday. I still think West Virginia is better and should win, but don't underestimate the value of playing an easy game on Tuesday for Clemson.
Darkhorse: (7) Washington - The Huskies ran the table in Los Angeles at the Pac 10 tournament last weekend for the second straight year. Last year's team used that momentum to reach the Sweet 16 and, although this Washington team isn't as good, I could see UW winning a game or two (or more) this season. With Isiah Thomas running the point for a team that can score quick the Huskies may be able to sneak up on the power teams in the East, including North Carolina.
Wednesday, March 16, 2011
Breaking Down The Bracket - Southwest
Each day here on the Blog leading up tot he start of the NCAA tournament (well the start of the now titled Second Round) we will break down a particular region. We're talking best games, sleepers, and other notable notes from the East, West, Southwest, and Southeast. Today we're breaking down the Southwest region. Click to see the West and Southeast breakdowns.
Top Seeds: (1) Kansas, (2) Notre Dame, (3) Purdue, (4) Louisville
Analysis: Although Bill Self's Kansas Jayhawks have battled injury and off court issues all season, KU may be the toughest out in the tournament. They have the size inside with the Morris brothers and Josh Selby, even as a freshmen, could make a real name for himself this month. The challenge for the Jawhawks may not come until the Elite Eight against a talented Notre Dame team with Big East Player of the Year Ben Hansbrough. Those two teams should be locks to meet.
Must Watch First Round Game: (6) Georgetown v. (11) USC/VCU Friday TNT 9:55 - I like the 8/9 UNLV v. Illinois game and Texas A&M and Florida State could be a fight between the 7 seed Aggies and the 10 'Noles, but the Hoyas of Georgetown will be must watch basketball Friday. If, as head coach John Thompson III says, senior guard Chris Wright is healthy Georgetown could be a sleeper. If, as most think, Wright has not recovered from his broken hand Georgetown could be one and done. We'll find out Friday - which makes it a must watch!
Upset Pick: (12) Richmond v. (5) Vanderbilt Thursday TBS 4:10 - It happens every year. A 12 beats a 5 like clock work in March, and although I already have (12) Utah State over (5) Kansas State, I love the Spiders in this match up. Richmond is red hot coming off their Atlantic 10 tourney title and they have the shooters to beat Vandy's defense.
Darkhorse: (4) Louisville - The Cardinals have big wins this year over teams like Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, and Connecticut. Many have called this year the best coaching performance in Rick Pitino's career! Add shooters like Preston Knowles and Kyle Kuric and the Cards could be a dangerous team and they certainly will be a tough out.
Top Seeds: (1) Kansas, (2) Notre Dame, (3) Purdue, (4) Louisville
Analysis: Although Bill Self's Kansas Jayhawks have battled injury and off court issues all season, KU may be the toughest out in the tournament. They have the size inside with the Morris brothers and Josh Selby, even as a freshmen, could make a real name for himself this month. The challenge for the Jawhawks may not come until the Elite Eight against a talented Notre Dame team with Big East Player of the Year Ben Hansbrough. Those two teams should be locks to meet.
Must Watch First Round Game: (6) Georgetown v. (11) USC/VCU Friday TNT 9:55 - I like the 8/9 UNLV v. Illinois game and Texas A&M and Florida State could be a fight between the 7 seed Aggies and the 10 'Noles, but the Hoyas of Georgetown will be must watch basketball Friday. If, as head coach John Thompson III says, senior guard Chris Wright is healthy Georgetown could be a sleeper. If, as most think, Wright has not recovered from his broken hand Georgetown could be one and done. We'll find out Friday - which makes it a must watch!
Upset Pick: (12) Richmond v. (5) Vanderbilt Thursday TBS 4:10 - It happens every year. A 12 beats a 5 like clock work in March, and although I already have (12) Utah State over (5) Kansas State, I love the Spiders in this match up. Richmond is red hot coming off their Atlantic 10 tourney title and they have the shooters to beat Vandy's defense.
Darkhorse: (4) Louisville - The Cardinals have big wins this year over teams like Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, and Connecticut. Many have called this year the best coaching performance in Rick Pitino's career! Add shooters like Preston Knowles and Kyle Kuric and the Cards could be a dangerous team and they certainly will be a tough out.
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Breaking Down The Bracket - Southeast
Each day here on the Blog leading up to the start of the NCAA tournament (well the start of the now title Second Round) we will break down a particular region. We're talking best games, sleepers, and other notable notes from the East, West, Southwest, and Southeast. Today we take a look at the Southeast and you should click here to see our preview of the West.
Top Seeds: (1) Pittsburgh, (2) Florida, (3) BYU, (4) Wisconsin
Analysis: This region is a perfect example for the argument that the committee doesn't know how to seed teams. I hate the debate on which teams didn't get in to the field over the teams that did make it, but I do understand when experts question why certain teams earned specific seeds. Florida as a 2? Really? The bottom line for the Southeast is you should expect upsets.
Must Watch First Round Game: (6) St. John's v. (11) Gonzaga - 9:45 Thursday CBS - The Jonnies come into this Dance as a newbie. The tradition rich program hasn't been among the field in 10 years! Conversely, the Bulldogs/Zags of Gonzaga haven't missed in over 10 years, yet this may be the least heralded of all those teams. I'll be interested to see how St. John's handles the pressure of the tourney and how they handle missing senior forward D.J. Kennedy who tore his ACL against Syracuse last week.
Upset Pick: (12) Utah State v. (5) Kansas St. - 9:57 Thursday TruTV - For almost two weeks I have been on Belmont's bandwagon. They are a team that can absolutely beat Wisconsin in the first round, but I think the Badgers, who were upset last year in round two, will be more mentally ready this year. Therefore, I'm going Utah State over Kansas State because A. it's a 12 over a 5 (always have at least one) and the Wildcats are an underachieving bunch who turned it on very late in the year. Remember the names Tai Wesley and and Brian Green, two Aggies that will give Frank Martin's K State headaches.
Dark Horse Pick: Is this even a question? (7) Michigan State has made 6 Final Fours in the past 12 years! Tom Izzo seems to take the Shaquille O'Neal approach to the season. Which is to say the Spartans loaf around until the postseason starts. Plus, look at Michigan State's road, a not-ready-for-prime-time UCLA in rd. 1, possibly an overrated Florida in rd 2, maybe BYU without Brandon Davies in the Sweet 16. That's cake to Izzo!
Top Seeds: (1) Pittsburgh, (2) Florida, (3) BYU, (4) Wisconsin
Analysis: This region is a perfect example for the argument that the committee doesn't know how to seed teams. I hate the debate on which teams didn't get in to the field over the teams that did make it, but I do understand when experts question why certain teams earned specific seeds. Florida as a 2? Really? The bottom line for the Southeast is you should expect upsets.
Must Watch First Round Game: (6) St. John's v. (11) Gonzaga - 9:45 Thursday CBS - The Jonnies come into this Dance as a newbie. The tradition rich program hasn't been among the field in 10 years! Conversely, the Bulldogs/Zags of Gonzaga haven't missed in over 10 years, yet this may be the least heralded of all those teams. I'll be interested to see how St. John's handles the pressure of the tourney and how they handle missing senior forward D.J. Kennedy who tore his ACL against Syracuse last week.
Upset Pick: (12) Utah State v. (5) Kansas St. - 9:57 Thursday TruTV - For almost two weeks I have been on Belmont's bandwagon. They are a team that can absolutely beat Wisconsin in the first round, but I think the Badgers, who were upset last year in round two, will be more mentally ready this year. Therefore, I'm going Utah State over Kansas State because A. it's a 12 over a 5 (always have at least one) and the Wildcats are an underachieving bunch who turned it on very late in the year. Remember the names Tai Wesley and and Brian Green, two Aggies that will give Frank Martin's K State headaches.
Dark Horse Pick: Is this even a question? (7) Michigan State has made 6 Final Fours in the past 12 years! Tom Izzo seems to take the Shaquille O'Neal approach to the season. Which is to say the Spartans loaf around until the postseason starts. Plus, look at Michigan State's road, a not-ready-for-prime-time UCLA in rd. 1, possibly an overrated Florida in rd 2, maybe BYU without Brandon Davies in the Sweet 16. That's cake to Izzo!
Monday, March 14, 2011
Breaking Down The Bracket - West
Each day here on the Blog leading up to the start of the NCAA tournament (well the start of the now title Second Round) we will break down a particular region. We're talking best games, sleepers, and other notable notes from the East, West, Southwest, and Southeast. Today we take a look at the West.
Top 4 Seeds - (1) Duke, (2) San Diego State, (3) Connecticut, (4) Texas
Analysis: Last season Duke was considered the easiest road to the Final Four. This season it's likely the defending champion Blue Devils may have the toughest road. Duke may have to face teams like Arizona, Texas, and Connecticut just to reach Houston! The Huskies of UConn will be an interesting and entertaining team to keep an eye on. Can Jim Calhoun's bunch overcome the fatigue of playing five games in five days last week/weekend and stay hot enough to win this region? Duke is the favorite, but Kemba Walker may be on a run unlike anything we have ever seen.
Must Watch 1st Round Game - (6) Cincinnati v. (11) Missouri - 9:50 p.m. TNT - Thursday. The Bearcats came on late in the season earning quality wins over Louisville, Georgetown twice, and Marquette. Meanwhile, Mizzou was a perpetual top 25 team until a late season collapse. At one point Cincy looked like an NIT team while Missouri looked like a top seed. Something will give here.
Upset Pick - (13) Oakland v. (4) Texas Friday 12:15 CBS - It's not the most likely upset pick out there, but Oakland is a very good team and the Longhorns haven't been the same team over the last month of the season. The Golden Grizzlies have only lost one game since December 28 and they are second in the nation for points per game (86 ppg) and field goal shooting (49%). Oakland did beat Tennessee this season and gave Michigan State a big scare early in the year, I like Texas as a tough out, but this game will be a challenge.
Dark Horse Team - (3) Connecticut - I hate that the Huskies are coming in to the Big Dance dead tired. The Fighting Kemba Walkers won five games in five days in the toughest basketball conference in the country. I don't care if they are teenagers or not, that will be tough to overcome. However, if they aren't too gassed, I like Connecticut's potential road to the Final Four. Again, fatigue will be an issue, but there is something to be said for the Huskies beating five teams (4 ranked) in one week. That stretch will be tougher than any stretch they face in the NCAA tournament.
Top 4 Seeds - (1) Duke, (2) San Diego State, (3) Connecticut, (4) Texas
Analysis: Last season Duke was considered the easiest road to the Final Four. This season it's likely the defending champion Blue Devils may have the toughest road. Duke may have to face teams like Arizona, Texas, and Connecticut just to reach Houston! The Huskies of UConn will be an interesting and entertaining team to keep an eye on. Can Jim Calhoun's bunch overcome the fatigue of playing five games in five days last week/weekend and stay hot enough to win this region? Duke is the favorite, but Kemba Walker may be on a run unlike anything we have ever seen.
Must Watch 1st Round Game - (6) Cincinnati v. (11) Missouri - 9:50 p.m. TNT - Thursday. The Bearcats came on late in the season earning quality wins over Louisville, Georgetown twice, and Marquette. Meanwhile, Mizzou was a perpetual top 25 team until a late season collapse. At one point Cincy looked like an NIT team while Missouri looked like a top seed. Something will give here.
Upset Pick - (13) Oakland v. (4) Texas Friday 12:15 CBS - It's not the most likely upset pick out there, but Oakland is a very good team and the Longhorns haven't been the same team over the last month of the season. The Golden Grizzlies have only lost one game since December 28 and they are second in the nation for points per game (86 ppg) and field goal shooting (49%). Oakland did beat Tennessee this season and gave Michigan State a big scare early in the year, I like Texas as a tough out, but this game will be a challenge.
Dark Horse Team - (3) Connecticut - I hate that the Huskies are coming in to the Big Dance dead tired. The Fighting Kemba Walkers won five games in five days in the toughest basketball conference in the country. I don't care if they are teenagers or not, that will be tough to overcome. However, if they aren't too gassed, I like Connecticut's potential road to the Final Four. Again, fatigue will be an issue, but there is something to be said for the Huskies beating five teams (4 ranked) in one week. That stretch will be tougher than any stretch they face in the NCAA tournament.
Tuesday, March 8, 2011
Matt Mc's Sports Fix Tournament Challenge
We are back again for our third annual Matt Mc's Sports Fix Tournament Challenge. Once again it is available courtesy of ESPN.com and, just as usual, it is 100% free!
- This year we will be awarding free Little Caesar's Pizzas to to the top 5 point getters from each weekend, with the overall winner earning the grand prize. So not only will the person who earns the most points for the entire tournament win, but just one good weekend can earn you something too!
- Please click here to head to our league page - this is a private league (as we want listeners and web site vistors only to participate) with the password being ESPN Radio. Sign up because Selection Sunday is this weekend and the actual tournament starts up Tuesday and Wednesday next week with the First Four!
- This year we will be awarding free Little Caesar's Pizzas to to the top 5 point getters from each weekend, with the overall winner earning the grand prize. So not only will the person who earns the most points for the entire tournament win, but just one good weekend can earn you something too!
- Please click here to head to our league page - this is a private league (as we want listeners and web site vistors only to participate) with the password being ESPN Radio. Sign up because Selection Sunday is this weekend and the actual tournament starts up Tuesday and Wednesday next week with the First Four!
Monday, March 7, 2011
Another One Seed For Syracuse?
OK, stay with me here because I'm sure the headline leads you to believe that I am about to homer up an argument for Syracuse to be a No. 1 seed in the upcoming NCAA tournament. How could a team that is currently fourth in it's own conference and a team that, at one low point, lost four straight games this season be considered one of the top four in the country?
- This is all hypothetical, but it's not completely out of the question (and yes, I am an Orange homer). Let's start with the facts, as of right now Syracuse is sitting at 25-6 overall RPI of 18 according to College RPI. The Orange are in the middle of a five game win streak including road victories over then ranked Villanova and Georgetown. Next, let's look ahead to SU's projected road in the Garden (assuming the better seeded teams win); St. John's (No. 22 RPI), Pittsburgh (No. 7), and Notre Dame (No. 9) in the finals.
- For Syracuse to have a shot at a top seed they would obviously have to win the Big East tournament - so that five game streak becomes an 8 game streak and it then includes victories over the ranked Red Storm, Panthers, and Irish. Presumably, the Orange RPI would go through the roof and it would bring them to 28 victories on the season (winners of 8 out of their last 10). Pretty impressive, right?
- Of the teams supposedly being considered for number one seeds Ohio State is a lock and I think Kansas is as close to a lock as possible. Give them both their conference tournament titles (eliminating Texas and Purdue in the meantime from No. 1 seed selection), so that would then leave two No. 1 slots open. I would think Pittsburgh and possibly even Notre Dame have claims to both of those spots. Obviously, Syracuse, in my opinion, could jump those two teams by beating both in New York City (semifinals over Pitt, and championship over ND). The other teams up for one, or maybe both, one seeds are Duke and North Carolina. If UNC beats Duke again in the ACC title game the Tar Heels knock the Blue Devils out of any No. 1 consideration. Creating a mess for the committee.
- You have have six loss teams like UNC, SU, Notre Dame, and Pittsburgh (again, assuming UNC wins the ACC, and SU wins the Big East) all up for two one spots. Let's give the 'third' one spot to the Tar Heels for winning the ACC regular season and then the ACC tourney. So, Ohio State, Kansas, and Carolina have one seeds. There would then be one final spot open and, looking around, Syracuse would make just as good of a claim as anyone for that one seed.
- Effectively, SU needs to win the Big East facing the toughest competition possible and then they need help. It's more likely a run through the Garden would lead to a 2 seed, which nobody would complain about, but in a season where only a few teams have stood out, SU could fall into their second straight one seed.
- This is all hypothetical, but it's not completely out of the question (and yes, I am an Orange homer). Let's start with the facts, as of right now Syracuse is sitting at 25-6 overall RPI of 18 according to College RPI. The Orange are in the middle of a five game win streak including road victories over then ranked Villanova and Georgetown. Next, let's look ahead to SU's projected road in the Garden (assuming the better seeded teams win); St. John's (No. 22 RPI), Pittsburgh (No. 7), and Notre Dame (No. 9) in the finals.
- For Syracuse to have a shot at a top seed they would obviously have to win the Big East tournament - so that five game streak becomes an 8 game streak and it then includes victories over the ranked Red Storm, Panthers, and Irish. Presumably, the Orange RPI would go through the roof and it would bring them to 28 victories on the season (winners of 8 out of their last 10). Pretty impressive, right?
- Of the teams supposedly being considered for number one seeds Ohio State is a lock and I think Kansas is as close to a lock as possible. Give them both their conference tournament titles (eliminating Texas and Purdue in the meantime from No. 1 seed selection), so that would then leave two No. 1 slots open. I would think Pittsburgh and possibly even Notre Dame have claims to both of those spots. Obviously, Syracuse, in my opinion, could jump those two teams by beating both in New York City (semifinals over Pitt, and championship over ND). The other teams up for one, or maybe both, one seeds are Duke and North Carolina. If UNC beats Duke again in the ACC title game the Tar Heels knock the Blue Devils out of any No. 1 consideration. Creating a mess for the committee.
- You have have six loss teams like UNC, SU, Notre Dame, and Pittsburgh (again, assuming UNC wins the ACC, and SU wins the Big East) all up for two one spots. Let's give the 'third' one spot to the Tar Heels for winning the ACC regular season and then the ACC tourney. So, Ohio State, Kansas, and Carolina have one seeds. There would then be one final spot open and, looking around, Syracuse would make just as good of a claim as anyone for that one seed.
- Effectively, SU needs to win the Big East facing the toughest competition possible and then they need help. It's more likely a run through the Garden would lead to a 2 seed, which nobody would complain about, but in a season where only a few teams have stood out, SU could fall into their second straight one seed.
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Playoff Power Rankings - Divisional Round
The divisional round is here in the NFL! That means we are down to the best 8 teams left playing football. OK, 7 teams. Sorry Seattle, one win does not a make a good team. Here are our rankings of the last eight playing - which is to write - here are the teams in between New England at the top and Seattle at the bottom.
- New England - Is there any question? You know how people are saying that the Jets and the Patriots split there games this season (both winning on their home field)? I don't buy it. If there is one team that is a 180 degrees different from what it was in September, it's New England.
- Pittsburgh - I thought the Steelers were a lock for the AFC tile game a week ago. But after watching Baltimore play and Pittsburgh not, I'm actually starting to doubt the Steelers. Can Troy (Polamalu) and Ben (Roethlisberger) (first name basis with both) play to their fullest extent? If either are limited Pittsburgh playoff run will also be limited.
- Baltimore - I never thought I would be one of those 'Ravens Guys' all high on the aging defense and Joe Flacco. All season I complained that Baltimore didn't do enough offensively to win games and I complained their defense was aging in key spots. Those complaints are still there, and quite valid thank you, but after BMore's beat down of KC, this team could be that hot wildcard team that sprouts every year.
- Atlanta - The happiest fans in the NFL were not Seattle's after the Seahawks took down New Orleans. Nope. The happiest group of football lovers resided in Atlanta. The Falcons now will face an overrated Green Bay team - and potential home games against either Seattle or Chicago. Not exactly the toughest draw ever, eh?
- Chicago - I honestly forgot to rank the Bears last week in our Wildcard rankings. Whoops. The Bears too should be happy that Seattle took out the defending champs, but, Chicago did lose to the Seahawks earlier in the year! Well, that game was in Seattle....oh? It was in Chicago? Could Seattle be four quarters away from an NFC title game?
- Green Bay - I was probably the only person in America who was thinking that Aaron Rodgers played a pedestrian game on Sunday in Philadelphia. Of course the Packers receivers didn't help him out either. Still, to me it's the Green Bay defense that will keep them in games, or keep them from winning games. Against Atlanta we'll know within the first quarter if the Pack have enough to stop Matt Ryan or not.
- New York Jets - The Jets may have put aside some Peyton Manning demons on Saturday night in Indianapolis, but I'm guessing they're still recovering from that 45-3 beat down to the Patriots from earlier this season. Tom Brady owns a lot of teams, so you're in good company Jets fans. Also, lost in the win over Indy was the fact that QB Mark Sanchez was missing receivers by about 5 feet for most of that game. His injured shoulder is probably going to be a bigger deal than Rex Ryan would ever let on about.
- Seattle - Congrats, you won a playoff game. You're still below .500 and you robbed the world of New Orleans taking on Atlanta for the NFC. Thanks.
Tuesday, January 4, 2011
Playoff Power Rankings
It's our second annual MMSF NFL Playoff Power Poll. We'll rank every team still playing throughout the playoffs right here on the Blog and then talk about it on the show later. Obviously, New England reigns supreme here, but the rest of the order is a complete toss up. You think Pittsburgh's the second best team? I believe it. You like New Orleans to get hot and win their second straight Super Bowl? Sounds good to me. You think Seattle can....just stop right there. Seattle stinks.
- New England - I think I've thrown more NFL interceptions than Tom Brady over the last two months. Can you believe he threw one touchdown pass in every game this season? This team, with all the nobodies that Brady makes look good, is elite. Well, as elite as the NFL gets now a days.
- Pittsburgh - The Steelers more than any other team not named Philadelphia needed to get a bye week (Indianapolis doesn't count because so many of their guys are on IR - a bye would be worthless). If the OLine protects Ben Roethlisberger and if Troy Polamula can move Pittsburgh will be a tough out.
- Philadelphia - We're around a month away from an all Pennsylvania Super Bowl! Crap, did I just jinx that? Anyway, if healthy the Eagles are the best NFC team. A defense coming around and an offense that is as explosive as any unit since the '99 Rams. The issues obviously are is Mike Vick's leg, DeSean Jackson's everything, and MLB Stewart Bradley's elbow. The Packers could easily win on Sunday, but the Eagles, just as easily, could run to Dallas.
- New Orleans - You know who's not complaining about a 7-9 team making the playoffs? The Saints! New Orleans has a chance to pound the Seahawks for the second time this season (34-19 week 11) which would give the Saints confidence and momentum.
- Atlanta - The last time the Falcons were the one seed in the NFC playoffs was 1980! The last championship for the city of Atlanta came with the Braves in baseball back in 1995. This is a title drought that no one talks about because, honestly, no one cares.
- Green Bay - The Packers are scary with Aaron Rodgers at QB throwing to wideouts Greg Jennings and Donald Driver on offense and Clay Matthews Jr. running around busting people on defense. The caveat here is that Green Bay has zero running attack and they are prone to giving up big plays.
- Kansas City - Isn't it weird that one week, one game, can change everyone's opinion on a team? All of a sudden Vegas sharps are hating and fans expect a loss. That's what happened with the Chiefs week 17 egg laying at home against Oakland. The thing is, one bad game does not a season make. Matt Cassel is actually good at QB and the Chiefs run the ball better than any other team in the NFL. Arrowhead is still tough and, in fact, KC's only home loss this year was in week 17 to those Raiders.
- Baltimore - Disagree with this? I've said all year I'm not on the Ravens bandwagon. They rarely give RB Ray Rice the ball and their pass defense is atrocious (21st in the NFL). Baltimore is a player or two away (mostly on defense) from being elite, but they're not at all there yet. Could they win a game or two here? Sure. The Super Bowl? No way.
- New York Jets - The Jets, Ravens, Packers, Saints, and Falcons are all the same to me. Major issues on one side of the ball, in the Jets case it's the offense, with an experienced and talented other side (the defense). Coming in as the 6 spot in the AFC is a death sentence. Win at Indianapolis and you win a trip to Foxborough. Heesh.
- Indianapolis - This resurgence, if you want to call it that, has come against weak competition. The thing everyone seems to forget is that as long as Peyton Manning is alive the Colts will make the playoffs. I wasn't surprised when Indy caught Jacksonville and won the AFC South after everyone thought the season was over, and I won't be surprised when Manning throws a pick (either against New York or in Pittsburgh) to cost his team the game.
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